Expansion. The 18th city of 10 million people is here.

Text: Yu Fei

01

Hefei, the population is over 10 million

Hefei, finally as expected, joined the club of cities with a population of ten million.

On March 10, the Anhui Provincial Bureau of Statistics announced the 2024 Anhui Province population changes in the sample survey of the main data bulletin

First, the resident population of Anhui Province at the end of last year was 61.23 million, an increase of 20,000 from 2023.

The increment of 20,000 people is not much, but it reverses the 2023 population decline.

Anhui’s good news is not only here, some time ago this number wrote that Anhui’s auto exports in 2024 surpassed Shanghai, topping China’s top auto export province.

Chart City Finance Data Various Customs

Secondly, Hefei, the capital of the province, has a resident population of 10.02 million people, successfully exceeding 10 million, an increase of 149,000 people from 2023.

With the addition of Hefei, the number of Chinese cities with more than 10 million permanent residents expanded to 18.

Chart City Finance Data Cities Bureau of Statistics Shenzhen Hangzhou Changsha Hefei for 2024, the rest for 2023

Hefei finally got what it wanted.

Hefei has been obsessed with population for a long time. As early as 2023, Hefei officially announced that its actual controlled population exceeded 10 million.

In August 2023, Hefei public security data statistics

As of the end of July 2023, Hefei had a real population of 12,344,000 people, including a household population of 8,053,000 and a floating population of 4,291,000 people.

Of course, the actual population and the resident population are two concepts, and the actual controlled population includes both the resident population and the floating population.

The resident population refers to the population of the city that has lived in the city for more than half a year in the current year, and is the most effective indicator of the size of the city’s population.

In the past few years, Hefei’s permanent population increase has been very significant, and in 2023, Hefei’s permanent population increase is as high as 219,000 people, ranking first in the country.

The increment of 149,000 in 2024 is the second highest among the cities that have released data so far, second only to Shenzhen.

Chart City Finance Data Statistics Bureau of each city

Over the past three years, Hefei has surpassed Nanjing and Ningbo in terms of resident population size through outstanding incremental growth, and its resident population size has ranked fourth among the cities in the Yangtze River Delta, after Shanghai Suzhou and Hangzhou.

02

Why Hefei is so strong

In addition to the strong competitiveness of its population, Hefei’s other happy news is that its new energy vehicle production surpassed Shanghai and ranked second in the country, only behind Shenzhen.

Data disclosed by the Hefei Bureau of Statistics shows that in 2024, the production of new energy vehicles exceeded one million units, reaching 1.376 million units, an increase of 84.5 percent.

Chart City Finance Data Hefei Bureau of Statistics

In Shanghai during the same period, the output of new energy vehicles amounted to 1.246 million units, a year-on-year decline of 4 8 .

Source Shanghai Bureau of Statistics

Why is Hefei so tough?

When analyzing Hefei’s new energy vehicle production surpassing Shanghai at the end of last year, this number focused on this question.

Hefei’s counter-intuitive development speed over the years, both at the helm of the eye of the unique, but also sometimes the cause of luck.

Looking at the development of Hefei in the past few decades, with the four words to describe the fate of heaven, it is no more appropriate.

Anhui writer Zhang Henshui in his travelogue Beijing and Shanghai travel magazine has a description of the liberation of Hefei

The area of the city was only 5 square kilometers, with a population of less than 60,000, a road with three lights, a loudspeaker for the whole city to listen to, a small river running through the city, and a small building with only two floors.

After the founding of New China, Hefei was chosen as the capital of Anhui Province over four other cities: Anqing, Bengbu, Wuhu and Hefei.

The old capital city of Anqing, due to its location on the Yangtze River, and the unstable factors in the early years of the founding of the country, made many people worry that if the capital city of the province is located in Anqing, such a strategic town along the river, and between Nanjing and Wuhan, once the war resumed, it is very likely to be the enemy forces one day even down two provincial capital cities.

Wuhu Bengbu’s conditions were actually better than Hefei’s, but Wuhu was too close to Nanjing, while Bengbu had historically been regarded as Nanjing’s northern gateway, and both faced similar dilemmas as Anqing, as well as for the sake of de-Nanjing, so Hefei ultimately won out.

Hefei’s subsequent development has not been much brighter, and like Zhengzhou, it is viewed as a small county.

It really took off into the 21st century.

In 2005, after the introduction of Hefei’s strategy of establishing itself as a city of industry, it began to look for new paths of industrial development.

Successful first step is to bind the BOE. 2007, the financial crisis in the torment of the BOE to seek local government financing support, Hefei in a controversial sound, Hefei commitment to take out one-third of the year’s fiscal revenue to invest in the BOE to build the country’s first LCD panel 6-generation line project Hefei’s change since the beginning.

Invest in BOE, is the beginning of Hefei bet.

Hefei city government invested 6 billion, strategic investors invested 3 billion, such as the failure to introduce strategic investment, the remaining 8.5 billion in the support of the Hefei government loans to solve. And that year, hefei city revenue is only 30 billion.

Throw a peach for a plum, and then the BOE live very well, the industrial chain is constantly upgrading, growing to the global screen display industry’s leading enterprises, while driving more than 70 supporting enterprises to the development of Hefei, Hefei has become one of the world’s largest display industry base, and radiate the entire semiconductor industry. Hefei thus stands at the high point of the screen display industry.

At the same time, due to the reception of the University of Science and Technology of China, the domestic and international rankings of the university are very high, to Hefei brought a large number of basic scientific research facilities, but also to bring Hefei comprehensive national science center title, quantum computers have become Hefei’s loud and clear business card.

After that, Hefei has caught the wind of the times with new energy vehicles and chips.

In 2019, after seeking financing from a number of local cities without success, Hefei threw an olive branch, and in 2020, Azure Automobile signed a betting agreement with Hefei, and the Chinese headquarters of Azure Automobile was settled in Hefei, which allowed Hefei to successfully seize the wind of the times.

After joining hands with Azera, Hefei is also upgrading the industrial upgrading of local car brand JAC, JAC new energy vehicles.

Up to now, Hefei has successively implemented JAC Volkswagen New Energy Vehicle JAC Azure New Energy Vehicle Chang’an Automobile Phase II and other more than 50 new energy automobile-related industrial projects, and gathered Azure JAC Gouxuan Hi-Tech Huating Power Huayi Technology and other upstream and downstream enterprises to form a complete industrial chain covering the whole car key components and components, the application of the complete industrial chain of supporting.

Hefei’s blueprint for the future of new energy vehicles is as follows

By 2025, the cultivation of world-class automobile industry clusters will make breakthrough progress, and the output value of new energy vehicles will exceed RMB 300 billion. The production capacity of new energy vehicles will reach 1.5 million units, and the output of new energy vehicles will account for more than 50 percent of the city’s total automobile output and more than 25 percent of the country’s total output, cultivating a number of internationally recognized brands.

With the new energy vehicle production explosion, Hefei has set a new goal!

Strive to 2027, the formation of two to three annual output of 500,000 vehicle enterprises, the addition of 10 billion-scale parts and components enterprises, new energy vehicle production capacity of more than 3 million vehicles, cluster revenue of more than 700 billion yuan.

Hefei has grown into a heavyweight player on the new energy vehicle track.

In terms of chips, in 2017, the Hefei Municipal Government and Zhaoyi Innovation set up a joint venture company, Hefei Changxin, specializing in the research and development and production of Dynamic Random Access Memory DRAM chips, and attracted a large number of upstream and downstream industries to settle.

In 2021, Hefei was ranked sixth in the national IC competitiveness ranking of mainland Chinese cities, and the production of smart watches, color TVs, laptops and other terminal products has also entered the national global forefront.

Industry helps the economy to take off and industry helps the population to expand.

In 2015, the GDP of Hefei exceeded 500 billion yuan mark In 2020, five years later, the GDP of Hefei doubled and successfully joined the trillion club.

Today’s Hefei is a far cry from the Hefei that Zhang Henshui saw back then.

The area of the city area is 1,339 square kilometers, and the GDP in 2024 will be 135.07 billion yuan, with a resident population of 10.02 million people.

Hefei’s venture capital model is now being studied by many cities.

03

Leveraging the momentum with strong provincial capitals

In addition to successful venture capital investment, there are two other subjective reasons behind Hefei’s success

First, it knows how to take advantage of the situation.

This point, I wrote before Jiangxi when I said, Jiangxi and Anhui over the past two decades on the development of the difference, a very important point, is that Anhui knows how to take advantage of the situation, and Jiangxi missed.

Anhui, rubbing heat everywhere, both fully integrated into the central development, but also with the Yangtze River Delta to realize the bundle.

In 2010, Hefei Ma Anshan joined. 2013 Wuhu Chuzhou Huainan joined. 2018, Tongling Anqing Chizhou Xuancheng joined. 2019, Bengbu Huangshan Liu’an Huaibei Suzhou Bozhou Fuyang joined.

So far, the whole territory of Anhui has successfully joined the Yangtze River Delta. And, in the outline of the Yangtze River Delta integrated development plan released by the central government, the official announcement was made.

In addition, Anhui will also own two cities Wuhu and Xuancheng, joined the Nanjing Metropolitan Area, with the help of Nanjing’s power to develop their own cities.

At the same time, as one of the six central provinces of Anhui is also cooperating with the central. Opened the mode of left and right.

There is also the strong provincial capital mode, which is undoubtedly the right route for Anhui.

Borrowing the momentum under the Anhui, constantly empowering Hefei, to have today’s Hefei.

Second, the strong provincial capital development model.

Most cities in mainland China are going strong provincial capital mode, Anhui is no exception, for Anhui, this is undoubtedly the right route.

After years of strong provincial capital development, Hefei today has an economic primacy of 26 9 , i.e. more than a quarter of the GDP is mounted in the provincial capital of Hefei.

And from the perspective of the oldest versus the youngest, Hefei is 2 7 times larger than Wuhu.

Strong provincial capital brings two results

First, lead the development of the province.

Data show that in the ten years from 2013 to 2022, Anhui’s ranking rose three places, from 13th ten years ago to 10th in the country last year, second only to Guizhou in terms of speed of rise.

Chart City Finance Data Statistical Bureau of Provinces, Municipalities and Autonomous Regions

Secondly, the population is madly flowing into the provincial capitals.

This is something I said in my analysis of Changsha last year. 2022 Changsha’s permanent population increase was the first, but Hunan province’s population decreased by 180,000 people, and all other cities except Changsha, are decreasing.

The same is true in 2024, only Changsha’s population is growing.

The same is true in Jiangxi, where only Nanchang has a significant increase in the province.

In Anhui, Hefei’s population grows by 219,000, but for the first time, Anhui’s population enters negative growth in 2023, decreasing by 60,000. of the 16 cities, four grow, one stays flat, and 11 decrease.

Chart City Finance Data Anhui Bureau of Statistics

As you can see, strong provincial capitals are basically siphoning off the province’s population.

However, there is nothing wrong with this. As I keep emphasizing, there is really no good or bad thing about strong provincial capitals and balanced development models, only whether they are suitable or not.

For example, the inland areas to go strong provincial capitals, mainly because under the reform and opening up, the inland areas are simply difficult to cope with the speed of development of the coastal areas, so they can only be weak is the core, and strengthen the provincial capitals.

Original is not easy, hard to move your little finger, in the right small corner of the article point a in the look point a praise. Welcome to share out, let more people see.

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