One of the most important wars in the world since the collapse of the Soviet Union would have to be the Battle of Aleppo in 2016, a battle that changed a lot of things.
The layout of the United States in the Middle East for many years came to an end with the end of this battle, and the United States’ strategy shifted from outward expansion to inward contraction, and without the failure of Aleppo, Trump would probably not have come to power, and the Democratic Party is responsible for the failure of the Middle East.
If there was no defeat in Aleppo, Saudi Arabia would not have dared to openly fall to Russia, after the victory in the battle of Aleppo, Russia joined OPEC , and then the Saudi king visited Moscow, Russia and Saudi Arabia began to jointly control the price of crude oil, the United States can not control the price of oil, Biden can not control the inflation, which is the conduction of a chain.
The success of the Russian army in Syria has also given Putin a lot of confidence, and it is with the victory in the battle of Aleppo that Putin has the confidence to go to war in Ukraine. Also buoyed by confidence is Iran, which has expanded its sphere of influence dramatically, and it was in Iraq that the commander-in-chief of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards was later blown up, which shows that the Iranian Revolutionary Guards have infiltrated Iraq and Syria, which is the Shia arc, and that Israel and Iran have begun to go directly to war in a hard way.
Last year, Syria changed days, may be a lot of people a little worried, in fact, there is no need, because the Middle East is no longer the focus of the international struggle , the United States is unlikely to adjust the entire global strategic deployment because of Syria’s sudden change of day, so Israel needs to take advantage of the United States has not yet completely fall before the solution to the security problem, if the United States completely fall, Israel has not yet removed Iran, then it is no way to live behind.
After the battle of Aleppo in 2016 the US is pointless in the Middle East, the US is all focused on China and is going to put all of its resources into competing with China to make sure that it continues to suppress us in the technological and economic fields.
In Trump’s first term, US-Russia relations are cordial, the US does not get involved in the Middle East, Trump has only one goal to fight with us in trade wars and technological sanctions to curb our development, this strategy is actually right, as long as we are knocked down, the Middle East’s problems will be solved naturally.
The Middle East is the chess eye of the world, the hub of the expansion of the strong, the strong, and the world leader of this level of strong, who is the world leader, who needs to occupy the Middle East . Whoever is the leader of the world needs to take over the Middle East, take the Middle East, and then spread to Europe, Asia and Africa, and that’s the pivot of the expansion of the strong. The Middle East is like Luoyang, the center of the world, and it’s not available to anyone but the king of the world. During the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union were fighting for supremacy in the Middle East, and China had no interest in that, but now if China wants to be the leader of the world, it needs to keep strengthening its influence in the Middle East.
The United States itself is weakening very quickly, Russia focuses on Europe, the Middle East will be influenced by us in the future, and now the Middle East is a power vacuum period, so Israel wants to eliminate external threats, Turkey wants to take advantage of the opportunity to become bigger, this is the United States lost its deer, the vassals to chase the performance.
This time should be the perfect opportunity for Iran to build a career.
The Middle East is capable of confronting Israel is Iran and Turkey, Turkey has a lot of small-mindedness, ambition is greater, and the relationship between all parties is a love-hate relationship, compared to which Iran is more pure, more appealing in the Islamic world, if Iran can stand up to Israel, the effect will be very good.
Ten years ago in the fight in Syria, Russia directly under the field, Iran felt a backbone, now Russia is subject to Ukraine, the United States is subject to China, the three parties do not dare to move, at this time, Israel launched a large-scale military action, according to the reasoning of Iran should also be countermeasures, but Iran did not take action, which missed the opportunity to be the hegemon of the Middle East.
Iran’s behavior in these years is always full of contradictions, talking very tough, but doing things very carefully, for a long time, many people have lost confidence in Iran. The reason why Iran is like this is because of internal disagreement.
The change of world power according to historical experience is a long-term process, the decline of a hegemon may take decades, after a specific war, the old and the new hegemon alternates, and the world begins to welcome a new leader, Iran’s compromisers probably think so.
These years of intense confrontation between China and the United States, the surface seems to be the United States constantly sanctioned China, in China’s doorstep flaunted, but in fact this is somewhat similar to Zhu Geliang’s Northern Expedition to the Central Plains, it is a helpless
The move.
Zhuge Liang knows that Shu can not stay for a long time, must be the northern expedition to have the possibility of long-term survival, Obama period of the United States is the same, know that the United States does not take the initiative to attack, and ultimately will certainly be defeated by us.
But China and the United States themselves know that this kind of this and that, the rest of the world does not necessarily know, even if the United States is now so bad, the vast majority of the world’s population still feel that the United States is a lot ahead of China, we can also ask people around, many people will think that the United States is ahead of China, but ask what aspects of the lead, they will want to think about half a day can not think of this, this is in fact also adapted to Iran.
The Iranian compromise faction is afraid of the United States, they hope that China will step in for them to block the United States attack, but in our view, your own things should be done by yourself, if I have done it for you, what do I need you for?
China and Iran cooperate with each other, if only limited to the economic field, Iran for us there is no value, Iran’s oil and gas resources China can also be obtained from other places, as for the geographic location, in fact, also okay, will not be the key to our success or failure.
Iran’s future road, or the need for them to come out on their own.
Last November Zhuhai Airshow began, China has released a lot of big killers, refreshing the cognition of many countries around the world, China and the United States did not have a war, but many national professionals began to think that China’s strength has exceeded the United States, or not to lose to the United States, which in fact, also gave Iranian Compromise Party pressure.
After the death of Iran’s hardline President Leahy in a plane crash, the Western compromise Pezeshizian came to power, and two months after he came to power in the United Nations General Assembly speech, said that Iran is ready to restart the Iranian nuclear negotiations. This speech was a clear compromise with the US.
The Iranian nuclear deal had already been negotiated, but Trump unilaterally withdrew from the deal, making it impossible to fulfill the agreement. Instead of thinking about how to make the U.S. continue to fulfill the agreement, Pezeshizian wanted to compromise again, which naturally annoyed the hardliners, and Supreme Leader Khamenei expressed his opposition to negotiations with the U.S.
On February 27, Khamenei made a speech saying that it was neither wise nor dignified to negotiate with the U.S. at this time. Past experience has proven that negotiating with the U.S. will not solve Iran’s problems.
The battle between the two factions has in fact become public, and on March 1, after the failure of the U.S.-U.S. negotiations on the mineral deal, Khamenei took to social media to repeat his warning of three years ago, when he warned against relying on the West, including the U.S. This statement is in fact a message to the compromise faction. This statement was actually addressed to the compromisers, especially Pezhetsyan.
Iran’s economy was very bad during the years it was under US sanctions, prices soared, and after Trump withdrew from the Iranian nuclear deal in 2018, Iran’s inflation has been above 30 for a long time, and that’s still the official figure published, but the black market rate is actually even worse.
The meaning of the compromise school is that since the economy is bad because of U.S. sanctions, an agreement with the U.S. will not solve the economic problems, which is like when the U.S.-China trade war first started, some people in the country said we should not mess with the United States.
But the hardliners mean that instead of surrendering and begging for mercy, we should fight to the end to nullify the U.S. sanctions, and then there will be greater benefits.
After Pezeshizian’s compromise speech at the UN in September, the compromisers came under intense pressure from the hardliners, with Vice President Zarif saying he had to resign on March 2 after facing insults, slander, threats, and pain from September onwards. On the same day, Iran’s Finance Minister Hammadi was dismissed from his post by the Majlis for mismanagement of the economy and the collapse of the currency.
Now, Pezeshizian is in danger of being dissolved, and that’s because of his short-sightedness.
Pezeshiziyan and Khamenei look at changes in the world situation from completely different dimensions. Pezeshiziyan is very short-sighted, and he only wants to solve the current problems, not only to solve the problems, but also not to incur losses, so the best way is to compromise with the United States.
But the hardliners are different, Khamenei believes that the United States is going to be finished, now and the United States to reach an agreement, not similar to 1944 and Japan to make peace, and when the United States was defeated by China and Russia, China and Russia how to look at Iran? What is Iran’s future position in the Middle East and in the world?
Reaching a compromise with an outgoing world policeman will be treated as a traitor by the succeeding world hegemon , and if Iran compromises with the U.S., then he has no trust in us. This is probably why Khamenei is forcefully preventing it.
On March 7 , President Donald Trump said in an interview that he wanted to negotiate with Iran over nuclear weapons and had sent a letter to Khamenei on 6 . If Khamenei does not agree to negotiate, the United States will have to take other actions because Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons, and there have been reports in the American media that Israel is planning to launch an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities in the middle of this year.
The next day, Khamenei made a televised speech in which he stated that Iran could not copy the foundations of Western material civilization on various issues, including political and economic issues. The double standards of Western countries are a disgrace to Western civilization. He emphasized that the governments of some bullying countries insist on negotiating with Iran not to solve problems but to impose their expectations. If their expectations are not accepted, these countries create controversies. These disputes are not limited to the nuclear issue, but also include Iran’s defense program, missile ranges, and other kinds of issues, and these countries are setting new expectations that Iran will never be able to meet.
After this speech, White House National Security Council spokesman Brian Hughes said Iran could face U.S. military action, a warning to Iranian hardliners.
A month earlier, when the Iranian president and foreign minister were still calling for negotiations with the U.S., Khamenei had said that negotiating with the U.S. was unwise and dishonorable and would not solve Iran’s problems.
Judging from the current form, the struggle between the two factions in Iran is now so intense that for the time being it is
hardliners have the upper hand.
People’s vision is different, the elected Iranian president is constrained by the narrow vision of the Iranian people, will be overly magnified by the difficulties of the moment, while ignoring the bright prospects, but the practical out of the leader can keenly find continue to struggle will bring the era of huge dividends, so that Iran will not only live a good life, but also become the hegemony of the Middle East.
We have not experienced the gap between different visions in these decades, until a few months ago, there are still some people in the country who want to compromise with the U.S., but now it is expected to be very few.
Now Iran is indeed at the doorstep of the great dividend of the times, once the United States is defeated, Iran out to fight Israel, the future of the Middle East is Iran’s world, Iran’s living standards of more than 90 million people will be similar to the United Kingdom.
Japan and the United Kingdom’s geographic conditions are actually similar, the reason why the United Kingdom can become the United Nations P5, the reason why after World War II can still be scenic, all because of the division of Europe, if the unification of Europe into China like that, then the United Kingdom and Japan, as the same, into the end of the world’s marginalized countries, so the successive British Prime Ministers, an important task is to cooperate with the U.S. to stir up the integration of Europe, and, in turn, if China splits up into Europe that way, then Japan’s international status would be very high.
Once Iran can take Israel, it will be to the Middle East what Britain is to Europe, a temptation that is coveted by those with insight in Iran.
In fact, Iran will not take much damage now that it is strongly resisting the US and Israel, and does not need to be intimidated by Trump’s military strikes, because the US is not capable of striking Iran at all .
It is now 2025, in the military the United States has declined significantly, in the economy is more likely to collapse at any time, the international status of the dollar is in jeopardy, the bubble of U.S. stocks has been struck by our technological weapons blow blow, U.S. debt buyers are also very scarce. The United States not only does not have the military capability to launch a strike against Iran, but also does not have the economic strength, and even less global political appeal, so Trump said that he would strike Iran, just talk, show off for a while, not only no deterrence, but more loss of faith.
Trump has said that he will end the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours after his election.On March 6, the U.S. government’s special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine issue, Kellogg, said The president said that he could end the war within 24 hours, but he didn’t say which year or which day ah . Trump’s talk of striking Iran is actually just as ridiculous as solving the Ukraine problem in 24 hours.
After the talk with Zelensky fell apart, Trump’s attitude towards Russia could suddenly change in a matter of hours, on the 7th the US government considered easing sanctions on Russia’s energy sector, and then a few hours later Trump was back to pressuring Russia again, posting on Truth Social that I’m strongly considering imposing massive banking sanctions other sanctions and tariffs on Russia until a ceasefire and a final peace settlement agreement. Russia and Ukraine, get to the negotiating table now before it’s too late. Thanks!!!
This fluctuating positive and negative attitude of Trump is a good indication of the plight of the U.S. Now that Trump has the title of President of the world’s number one power but does not have the strength of the number one power, the U.S. finances are now in an irredeemable state, forcing Trump himself to go to Saudi Arabia to make things better in person. He said he would visit Saudi Arabia by May to get the Saudis to invest massively in the US.
On top of that, Trump announced that the U.S. is treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, but only stockpiling what it already has without increasing its buying, a statement that has caused the price of Bitcoin to fall rather than rise. In fact, it’s really not Trump’s fault, now the U.S. Treasury really can’t get the money to buy new assets.
With the financial pressures that the US is under right now, how can it possibly come up with the money to fight Iran. The amount of money it would take to carry out with Iran would be in the trillions of dollars, and right now Trump can’t even come up with a few hundred billion dollars.
In addition, the Russians have begun a full-scale, massive offensive in Kursk, and if the Ukrainian army can’t retreat in time, it will be cut and surrounded, which will continue to put pressure on the U.S. to mediate negotiations for a truce in Ukraine. The US can’t even hold Ukraine, so how can it possibly open up a new battlefield and run to the Middle East to start another war with Iran.
So the Iranian hardliners should be more courageous and carry out a second revolution to massively clean up the compromised faction, followed by giving Israel a massive blow to crush the US bastion in the Middle East, and with the US losing the Middle East, the entire financial empire will completely collapse.
If this can really be the case, the future of the new world order, Iran can replace the status of the United Kingdom, become the United Nations P5 in the lower three P5, once you miss this opportunity, when the United States is completely defeated, Israel has nothing to rely on, will inevitably surrender to China and Russia, and at that time, Iran and then take action against Israel, but not only no merit, but also to bear the charge of destroying the new world order.
The status is fought, not voted. Don’t fantasize all day long like India to be voted into the P5 of the UN.
The opportunity to make a world-class achievement is close at hand, and it is rare but easy to lose, but it is also the time to see whether Iran can grasp this opportunity that comes only once in a century.
The End
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