Earlier, the author’s basic verdict on the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war was that Russia might not win, but it would certainly not lose.
Now, when the Russo-Ukrainian war has reached this point, many things have become more clear.
We know that earlier the world is led by seven countries, commonly known as the G7 group, and later, due to the growth of the global South, G7 became G20, led by 20 countries in the world. G20 in the G2 is the most, all the eagles and pandas to reach an agreement on things, basically there will be no more problems.
For the Bear in the Russo-Ukrainian War.
The eagle will neither completely mess up the big bear nor make it powerful. This is because Eagle needs to mold an enemy for Europe, thus rallying Europe to facilitate its own leadership, and if there is no enemy, Europe will not listen to Eagle. At the same time, Eagle will also survive a strong neighbor for Panda. Given these 2 points, Eagle will not completely screw over Bear.
On the other hand, the eagle will not allow a strong polar bear to exist, which would threaten the eagle’s global hegemony and its leadership of the world, and thus must weaken the bear in all aspects.
For the Panda is also the same, do not want the polar bear towards the strong, no one would like a strong neighbor to stay by their side At the same time, will not allow the big bear by NATO down, if the big bear again split, cracked into dozens of small countries will be a number of countries to join NATO. In that case, the Panda will be fighting against the US NATO from both the Eastern and Northern fronts, and the situation will be very unfavorable.
That is to say, no matter eagle or panda, the attitude towards polar bear is the same, that is, to keep to the big bear’s weak but not down, big but not strong. For this reason, when the polar bear is strong, the outside world will reduce aid to Russia and increase aid to Ukraine, and when the polar bear is not strong enough, the outside world will increase aid to Russia and reduce aid to Ukraine.
In other words, to some extent, the eagle and the panda have the same ultimate interest in the Russo-Ukrainian war.
Panda, Eagle and Polar Bear, Tanegashima AI.
In today’s world, when the interests of two countries, the eagle and the panda, appear to be aligned, the ultimate outcome of a matter is largely fixed. If you think along these lines, the final outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war is easy to see. The shape of the final tactical outcome may be different, but the strategic outcome is bound to be largely the same.
As for Ukraine, it is just a chess piece, its death or loss is not important at all.
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